Robert F. Kennedy Jr. recently decided to suspend his independent presidential campaign in around 10 battleground states while endorsing President Donald Trump. New data from Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio suggests that this move might provide Trump with a critical boost in states where the outcome is uncertain.
Before his suspension, Kennedy was polling between 3% and 5% in swing states such as Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin. However, his endorsement has led many of his supporters to back Trump, which could shift the balance. Fabrizio’s polling indicates that RFK Jr.’s voters now favor Trump over Democratic nominee Kamala Harris by roughly a two-to-one margin in these states.
In Arizona, Kennedy’s supporters break for Trump at 53% compared to just 28% for Harris, with the rest undecided. In Georgia and Michigan, the advantage for Trump is smaller — just 13% and 2%, respectively. North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin show similar trends, with Trump gaining between 16% and 21% more RFK Jr. voters than Harris in these areas.
The effect of this shift could be crucial. According to RealClearPolitics averages, Trump and Harris are nearly deadlocked in many battlegrounds—Trump holds slight leads in Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, while Harris is ahead in Wisconsin and Michigan. Given these narrow margins, even minor swings in voter support could prove decisive.
Kennedy’s endorsement of Trump is likely to intensify the battle for these states, as both campaigns recalibrate their strategies in response to this significant development.
