New Hampshire Poll Shows Close Race Between Trump And Harris

Former President Donald Trump has pulled within three points of Vice President Kamala Harris in New Hampshire, according to a new Emerson College/WHDH poll conducted from Oct. 21-23. Harris leads with 50% support among likely voters, while Trump follows closely with 47%. Third-party candidates receive 2%, leaving 1% of voters undecided.

New Hampshire has not been won by a Republican in a presidential race since 2000, making the close margin surprising for this traditionally Democratic state. In 2020, President Joe Biden carried the state by more than 7%. Polling suggests a shift among male voters toward Trump, although Harris maintains a lead among women similar to Biden’s in the last election.

Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted the shift in voter demographics, stating that “Harris’ margin among women is similar to that of Biden in 2020 — however, male voters have shifted about two points toward Trump.” Harris is also underperforming with independents compared to Biden, leading by only 13 points versus Biden’s larger margin in 2020.

Economic concerns remain the top issue for voters in New Hampshire, with 34% identifying the economy as their primary concern, followed by housing affordability at 26%. Trump’s campaign has focused heavily on economic recovery and addressing inflation, appealing to those dissatisfied with current conditions. Harris, meanwhile, must tackle these issues to secure her base in the state.

Polls from other states show Harris facing additional challenges. An Arab News/YouGov poll indicates Trump leading among Arab American voters nationwide, with 45% support compared to her 43%. Her team is particularly worried about swing states like Michigan, where these communities could be decisive.

As the election nears, a Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump leading Harris nationally by a narrow 47%-45% margin. This represents a shift from earlier polling in August when Harris had a slight lead.